SECULAR FERTILITY DECLINES, BABY BOOMS, AND ECONOMIC GROWTH: INTERNATIONAL EVIDENCE
作者: Robert TamuraCurtis Simon
作者单位: 1Clemson University
2 Clemson University
刊名: Macroeconomic Dynamics, 2017, Vol.21 (7), pp.1601-1672
来源数据库: Cambridge University Press Journal
DOI: 10.1017/S1365100515001017
原始语种摘要: We present a model capable of explaining 200 years of declining fertility, 200 years of rising educational achievement, and a significant baby boom for the United States and twenty other industrialized market countries. We highlight the importance of secularly declining young adult mortality risk for producing secularly declining fertility and a sudden decline in housing costs after the end of the Second World War, but ending by 1970. In addition, we introduce a new puzzle for the profession: Given the magnitude of the Baby Boom, roughly equal to fertility in 1900 for many of these countries, why did schooling of the Baby Boom cohorts not fall to the 1900 level of their predecessors? In fact, not only did it not fall, but the schooling levels of these cohorts are higher than for previous...
全文获取路径: Cambridge U Press  (合作)
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关键词翻译
关键词翻译
  • schooling 学校教育
  • costs 费用
  • puzzle 难题
  • empirical 经验的
  • importance 重要性
  • market 市场
  • housing 外壳
  • years 年代
  • roughly 粗略地
  • magnitude 震级