Climate change and total factor productivity in the Tanzanian economy
作者: Bezabih, MintewabChambwera, MuyeyeStage, Jesper
刊名: Climate Policy, 2011, Vol.11 (6)
来源数据库: Earthscan Journal
DOI: 10.1080/14693062.2011.579300
关键词: adaptation policyAfricaeconomic developmenteconomic modelsTanzaniaAfriquedéveloppement économiquemodèles économiquespolitique d'adaptationTanzanie
英文摘要: The economic impacts of climate-change-induced adjustments on the performance of the Tanzanian economy are analysed, using a countrywide computable general equilibrium (CGE) model. The effect of overall climate change on agricultural productivity (modelled as reduced land productivity) is projected to be relatively limited until about 2030, thereafter becoming worse. The simulation results indicate that despite the projected reduction in agricultural productivity, the negative impacts can potentially be quite limited. This is because the timescales involved, as well as the low starting point of the economy, leave ample room for factor substitutability and increased overall productivity. This indicates that policies that give farmers the opportunity to invest in autonomous climate...
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关键词翻译
关键词翻译
  • economy 经济
  • productivity 生产能力
  • total 总和
  • change 变化
  • factor 因素