Simulated Regional Yields of Spring Barley in the United Kingdom under Projected Climate Change
作者: David O. YawsonTom BallMichael O. AduSushil MohanBarry J. MulhollandPhilip J. White
作者单位: 1School of Agriculture, University of Cape Coast, Cape Coast 6693, Ghana
2Department of Humanities and Social Sciences, Geography, University of Winchester, Winchester SO22 4NR, UK
3Brighton Business School, University of Brighton, Moulsecoomb, Brighton BN2 4AT, UK
4ADAS UK Ltd., Battlegate Road, Boxworth, Cambridge CB23 4NN, UK
5The James Hutton Institute, Invergowrie, Dundee DD2 5DA, UK
刊名: Climate, 2016, Vol.4 (4)
来源数据库: Directory of Open Access Journals
DOI: 10.3390/cli4040054
关键词: BarleyClimate changeUK Climate ProjectionsAquaCropWater and heat stress
原始语种摘要: This paper assessed the effect of projected climate change on the grain yield of barley in fourteen administrative regions in the United Kingdom (UK). Climate data for the 2030s, 2040s and 2050s for the high emission scenario (HES), medium emissions scenario (MES) and low emissions scenario (LES) were obtained from the UK Climate Projections 2009 (UKCP09) using the Weather Generator. Simulations were performed using the AquaCrop model and statistics of simulated future yields and baseline yields were compared. The results show that climate change could be beneficial to UK barley production. For all emissions scenarios and regions, differences between the simulated average future yields (2030s–2050s) and the observed yields in the baseline period (1961–1990) ranged from 1.4 to 4 tons·ha−1....
全文获取路径: DOAJ  (合作)

  • 应力 十四
  • barley 大麦
  • under 在下
  • yield 成品率
  • change 变化
  • growing 饲育
  • conditions 条件式
  • emissions 排放物
  • scenario 剧情
  • fourteen 十四
  • stress 十四