Project planning with alternative technologies in uncertain environments
作者: Stefan CreemersBert De ReyckRoel Leus
作者单位: 1Management Department, IESEG School of Management, Lille, France
2Department of Management Science & Innovation, University College London, United Kingdom
3Research Group ORSTAT, Faculty of Economics and Business, KU Leuven, Belgium
刊名: European Journal of Operational Research, 2015, Vol.242 (2), pp.465-476
来源数据库: Elsevier Journal
DOI: 10.1016/j.ejor.2014.11.014
关键词: Project schedulingUncertaintyNet present valueAlternative technologiesStochastic activity durations
原始语种摘要: Abstract(#br)We investigate project scheduling with stochastic activity durations to maximize the expected net present value. Individual activities also carry a risk of failure, which can cause the overall project to fail. In the project planning literature, such technological uncertainty is typically ignored and project plans are developed only for scenarios in which the project succeeds. To mitigate the risk that an activity’s failure jeopardizes the entire project, more than one alternative may exist for reaching the project’s objectives. We propose a model that incorporates both the risk of activity failure and the possible pursuit of alternative technologies. We find optimal solutions to the scheduling problem by means of stochastic dynamic programming. Our algorithms prescribe which...
全文获取路径: Elsevier  (合作)
影响因子:2.038 (2012)

  • uncertainty 不定
  • alternative 可选择的
  • stochastic 随机的
  • planning 计划
  • scheduling 
  • expected 预期
  • project 凸出
  • technological 工芝的
  • optimal 最佳的
  • activity 活度