THE VALUE-ADDED OF SPECIFIC LONG RANGE TEMPERATURE FORECASTS
作者: Ryan Savitz Karen Iannucci
刊名: Journal of International Business and Economics®, 2017, Vol.17 (1)
来源数据库: International Academy of Business and Economics
DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.18374/JIBE-17-1.8
关键词: long range weather forecastsvalue addedforecast accuracy.
原始语种摘要: The purpose of this paper is to assess the value added, as it relates to the accuracy of a particular long range weather forecast. The forecast under consideration is Accuweather’s 45 day forecast. This forecast predicts both the high and low temperature for every day, in a given location (Philadelphia, PA), for up to 45 days in the future. In order to determine whether there is value to such a detailed, long range forecast, the differences between the actual high and low temperatures and the 44 day lag time predicted high and low temperatures were calculated, over a period of one year. Additionally, the differences between the actual high and low temperatures and the historical mean high and low temperatures were calculated for the same period of time. The accuracies of the 44 day...
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关键词翻译
关键词翻译
  • 计算的 真实的
  • forecast 预报
  • historical 历史的
  • purpose 目的
  • particular 细致的
  • between 在中间
  • range 射程
  • actual 真实的
  • calculated 真实的
  • value 
  • accuracy 准确度