Impact of HCV antiviral therapy on the Liver Transplantation Waiting-List assessed by mathematical models
作者: Eleazar Chaib Joao Luis Erbs Pessoa Marizete MedeirosEduardo Massad
刊名: Journal of Surgery and Surgical Research, 2019, Vol.5 (1), pp.001-004
来源数据库: Peertechz Publications Private Limited
DOI: 10.17352/2455-2968.000058
原始语种摘要: In this paper we analyze, through a mathematical model, the potential impact of HCV antiviral therapy on the liver transplantation waiting list (LTWL) in the State of Sao Paulo, Brazil.In previous papers, we projected the size of the waiting list by taking into account the incidence of new patients per year, the number of transplantations carried out in that year, and the number of patients that died in the waiting list. In the present work, we projected the LTWL size for the next 30 years and we introduced the anti-HCV treatment, which was assumed to half the incidence of patients in the LTWL and that the recovery of patients in the list would triple. The liver transplantation rate was assumed to not be affected by the anti-HCV treatment. Our mathematical model demonstrates that anti-HCV...
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  • mathematical 数学的
  • projected 计划中的
  • waiting 等待
  • assumed 假定的
  • incidence 入射
  • impact 冲击碰撞
  • approximately 近似地
  • antiviral 抗病毒的
  • analyze 分析
  • papers 证件