Advances in Mexico in the middle of the Decade of Action for Road Safety 2011–2020
作者: Martha HíjarRicardo Pérez-NúñezAarón Salinas-Rodríguez
作者单位: 1Secretaría de Salud. Secretariado Técnico del Consejo Nacional para la Prevención de Accidentes. Ciudad de México, México
2Instituto Nacional de Salud Pública. Centro de Investigación en Evaluación y Encuestas. Cuernavaca, Morelos, México
刊名: Revista de Saúde Pública, 2018, Vol.52
来源数据库: Public Health School of the São Paulo University
DOI: 10.11606/S1518-8787.2018052000225
关键词: Motor VehiclesAccidentsTrafficPrevention & controlAccidentsTrafficTrendsAccident PreventionStandardsSafetyLegislation & jurisprudence
原始语种摘要: ABSTRACT(#br)OBJECTIVE(#br) To analyze the progress towards the accomplishment of the expected goal in the middle of the Decade of Action for Road Safety 2011–2020 in Mexico and its states.(#br)METHODS(#br) This is a secondary analysis of road traffic deaths in Mexico between 1999 and 2015. We projected the trend for the period 2011–2020 using a time series analysis (autoregressive integrated moving average models). We used the value of the Aikaike Information Criterion to determine the best model for the national level and its 32 states.(#br)RESULTS(#br) Mexico is progressing, approaching the proposed goal, which translates into 10,856 potentially prevented deaths in the five-year period from 2011 to 2015. This was due to a decrease in the number of deaths of motor vehicle occupants, as...
全文获取路径: 圣保罗大学 公共卫生学院  (合作)
影响因子:1.066 (2012)

  • autoregressive 自回归
  • expected 预期
  • Action 
  • middle 中间的
  • rethink 再想
  • national 国家的
  • country 地方
  • vehicle 
  • jurisprudence 法律学
  • towards 朝向