The aging population in Sweden: can declining incidence rates in MI, stroke and cancer counterbalance the future demographic challenges?
作者: Karin ModigSven DrefahlTomas AnderssonAnders Ahlbom
作者单位: 1Division of Epidemiology, Institute of Environmental Medicine, Karolinska Institute
2Demography Unit, Department of Sociology, Stockholm University
刊名: European Journal of Epidemiology, 2012, Vol.27 (2), pp.139-145
来源数据库: Springer Journal
DOI: 10.1007/s10654-012-9653-2
关键词: Myocardial infarctionStrokeCancerProjectionsDemographyIncidence trendsSweden
英文摘要: Abstract(#br)It is often taken for granted that an ageing population will lead to an increased burden for the health care sector. However, for several diseases of big public health impact the rates have actually come down for a substantial period of time. In this study we investigate how much the incidence rates for myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, and cancer will have to decline in order to counterbalance future demographic changes (changes in population size and age structure) and compare these figures with observed historical trends. Information on incidence rates were obtained from the National Board of Health and Welfare and referred to the total Swedish population. Population projections were obtained from Statistics Sweden. We projected the number of MI events to increase 50–60%...
全文获取路径: Springer  (合作)
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影响因子:5.118 (2012)

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关键词翻译
关键词翻译
  • 将来 瑞典
  • counterbalance 平衡锤
  • incidence 入射
  • demographic 人口统计的
  • population 母体
  • aging 老化
  • stroke 笔划
  • Sweden 瑞典
  • future 瑞典
  • rates 地方税
  • cancer 癌症