Public health interventions for epidemics: implications for multiple infection waves
作者: Lindsay WesselYi HuaJianhong WuSeyed M Moghadas
作者单位: 1Institute for Biodiagnostics, National Research Council Canada
2York Institute of Health Research, York University
3University of Winnipeg
刊名: BMC Public Health, 2011, Vol.11 (S1)
来源数据库: Springer Journal
DOI: 10.1186/1471-2458-11-S1-S2
英文摘要: Abstract(#br) Background(#br)Epidemics with multiple infection waves have been documented for some human diseases, most notably during past influenza pandemics. While pathogen evolution, co-infection, and behavioural changes have been proposed as possible mechanisms for the occurrence of subsequent outbreaks, the effect of public health interventions remains undetermined.(#br) Methods(#br)We develop mean-field and stochastic epidemiological models for disease transmission, and perform simulations to show how control measures, such as drug treatment and isolation of ill individuals, can influence the epidemic profile and generate sequences of infection waves with different characteristics.(#br) Results(#br)We demonstrate the impact of parameters representing the effectiveness and adverse...
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影响因子:2.076 (2012)

  • epidemics 列病
  • infection 感染
  • health 保健
  • multiple 多次的